Hurricane Polo

Similar Stochastic Events | Summary
Posting Date: September 28, 2026, 2:00:00 PM

Hurricane Polo is expected to make a double landfall over Baja California and the Pacific coast of Mexico over the next 24 hours. As of 8am local time on September 28^th, Polo was located 85 miles west-southwest of Cabo San Lazaro in Mexico, with estimated 1-minute sustained winds of 115 mph and a minimum central pressure of 958 mb.  The cyclone is moving northeast at 10 mph.

ALERT™ subscribers can download similar stochastic event (SSE) IDs for Hurricane Polo’s impacts in Mexico from the Downloads tab of this posting on the ALERT website. Compatible with Verisk Synergy Studio, Touchstone® and Touchstone Re™, the SSEs were selected based on the event’s track, minimum central pressure, estimated winds, forward speed, and approach angle. They should only be used with exposures in Mexico.

Hurricane Warnings are in place for the west coast of Baja California Sur from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe, the east coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Bahia San Juan Bautista, and for mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito.   Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area along the west coast of Baja California Sur by late this afternoon, with tropical storm conditions beginning in the southern portion of the warning area later this morning. These conditions are expected to spread northward and eastward across Baja California Sur later today and tonight. Hurricane conditions are also expected within the Hurricane Warning area and possible in the watch area in mainland northwestern Mexico late tonight through early Tuesday with tropical storm conditions expected to begin tonight.

Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches across portions of Baja California Sur. Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches are expected across southern and central portions of Sonora. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

Please contact your Verisk representative with any questions.

Similar Stochastic Events | Downloads
Posting Date: September 28, 2026, 2:00:00 PM

The information provided herein is strictly confidential and is solely for the use of Verisk clients; disclosure to others is prohibited.

Similar Stochastic Events (to be released shortly)

Product	File Type	Description	Download
TOUCHSTONE / Re	Excel (xls)	Selected set of stochastic events, with Readme in Excel format
TOUCHSTONE / Re	CSV (csv)	Selected set of stochastic events, formatted for import into Touchstone/Re